MU vs Chelsea preview (03:15 on 7 December): Inconclusive
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The MU vs Chelsea verdict leans a bit towards the visitors, but to get 3 points against the Red Devils at Old Trafford is not easy.
MU vs. Chelsea: easy to split points
Last weekend, United were away at Newcastle with the baggage of three consecutive victories in the Premier League. However, manager Erik ten Hag had an extremely disappointing game. In the first half, the attacking trio of Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford, and Anthony Martial did not even touch the ball in the home team’s box, and only luck kept Andre Onana from conceding a goal. In the second half, the game did not change; MU was completely inferior to the opponent, and what had to come was also coming. Anthony Gordon scored the only goal to help the hosts win 1–0.
During the 90 minutes, MU only finished on target once, while their defense let the opponent threaten more than 20 times. With such a disparity, perhaps Erik ten Hag must feel lucky to have lost by a minimal margin. Statistically, United have not won an away Premier League game against a team in the Top 8 since October 2021, in a win over Tottenham under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. Since then, the Reds have drawn three and lost 10 of their 13 games. In addition, MU lost three consecutive matches against Newcastle after 101 years.
This was the second consecutive game that United disappointed in just one week, preceded by a 3-3 draw at Galatasaray in the penultimate leg of Group A of the Champions League. With only 1 point on Turkish soil, United must win against Bayern Munich in the last match at home and hope Copenhagen draws Galatasaray on Danish soil to have any hope of qualifying for the group stage.
After losing to Newcastle, United returned home to face Chelsea in the round of 15 of the Premier League. The MU vs. Chelsea verdict leans a bit towards the visitors, but when playing at Old Trafford, the Reds are determined to pick up points. Newcastle’s defeat has dropped United to 7th place in the table; they are 5 points behind 4th-placed Aston Villa.
The MU offensive line is not playing well this season. The Red Devils have scored just 16 Premier League goals this season, the worst of the top 10. Home ground is no longer the fulcrum to help MU win good results, according to which, in the last 5 matches in the Premier League at Old Trafford, MU won 2 but had to receive 3 defeats. Further, MU lost four of the last seven matches at home in all competitions.
There was a statistic against United before the game against Chelsea. Accordingly, this season, MU played really badly in matches against teams in the Top 10 in the Premier League. Specifically, the Reds have lost all five games played this season against teams in the Top 10. Those losses came against Tottenham, Arsenal, Brighton, Manchester City, and, most recently, Newcastle. It also means that their eight wins have been against teams in the bottom half of the standings. Chelsea, after their win over Brighon, have risen to 10th place, and they will undoubtedly bring worries to Red Man fans.
On the other side of the line, Chelsea ended a two-match winless streak in the Premier League by beating Brighton 3-2 at home. Enzo Fernandez went 30 Premier League games without scoring a goal, but against Brighton, he shone with a brace. Pochettino’s side led 2-1 after 45 minutes, but had to play undermanned for the entire second half as Conor Gallagher received a red card in injury time of the first half.
Playing undermanned but still winning 3-2 on aggregate, Pochettino’s side received plenty of praise. 3 points helped Chelsea rise to 10th place in the table, 4 points behind 7th-place United. The Blues are also 10 points behind fourth-placed Aston Villa. To close the gap to the top group, the Stamford Bridge team needs to put in a lot of effort. Chelsea have now scored 12 goals in their last four Premier League matches, although they have also conceded a total of 11 goals.
Before being beaten 4-1 by Newcastle, Chelsea had three consecutive away wins. In the last trip to Old Trafford in May this year, the Blues lost 1-4, but it was also Chelsea’s only defeat in the last six head-to-head matches between the two teams. Accordingly, in all five previous confrontations, the match ended in a draw after 90 minutes.
On the strength front, United’s Mason Mount has returned to training after a calf problem, but it is unknown if he will be given the chance by manager Ten Hag to face his former team. The Red Devils will be without the services of Tyrell Malacia (knee), Lisandro Martinez (foot), Casemiro (thigh), Christian Eriksen (knee), Amad Diallo (knee), and Jonny Evans (thigh) due to various issues, while Jadon Sancho is yet to train with the 1st team. After Anthony Martial and Marcus Rashford played disappointingly at St. James’ Park, Ten Hag could replace them with Rasmus Hojlund and Antony.
While two Chelsea players, Reece James and Marc Cucurella, returned from suspension, Gallagher was absent due to receiving two yellow cards against Brighton. James will play on the right wing, and Colwill’s goal at the weekend could see the Englishman selected against Cucurella on the left flank. Malo Gusto (tendon), Christopher Nkunku (knee), Romeo Lavia (ankle), Wesley Fofana (knee), Carney Chukwuemeka (knee), Trevoh Chalobah (thigh), and Ben Chilwell (thigh) are all absent due to various injuries.
MU vs. Chelsea preview
United have just been disappointed to lose to Newcastle. The Red Devils are showing a lack of consistency this season. Despite playing at Old Trafford in the round of 15, Erik ten Hag promises a tough game against Chelsea, who have gotten better under Pochettino. With poor form and internal signs of turmoil after the loss to Newcastle, fans do not expect United to have all three points against Chelsea. Meanwhile, Chelsea’s chances of winning three points at Old Trafford are not easy. The chances of this match ending in a draw are high. According to statistics, five of the last six matches between the two teams ended in draws.
The match at Old Trafford is not expected to have too many goals. 5/6 of the past head-to-head matches between MU and Chelsea have had less than 3 goals. In the Premier League, 3/4 of United’s past matches have a maximum of 3 goals.
Score prediction: United 1-1 Chelsea
